COVID-19 and Residential Property Crime in Chicago, IL

My econometrics project seeking to understand the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on residential property crime in Chicago’s 77 community areas.

Published

December 15, 2021

In Fall 2021 I took Econometrics (ECON 381) at Macalester College. With the COVID-19 pandemic still looming and consistently and feeling like doing a project related to my hometown, I decided to learn more about COVID-19 and residential property crime on the neighborhood level. Over the course of my analysis (March 2019 - Feb 2021), I found one neighborhood to have a significant increase in residential property crime (Lincoln Square) and 15 neighborhoods to have a significant decrease in residential property crime. Overall, I found significant evidence that property crime decreased for Chicago as a whole with the onset of the pandemic. My statistical methods included fixed and random effects modeling as well as Granger causality. Please check out my paper to learn more!

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